Election Predictor

The election predictor was made using available CNN exit poll data. Adjusting the values therein will "trickle" down to individual states proportionally by that state's exit poll data. For example, if you predict that men will vote Trump by 5% more, the ratio will adjust proportionally according to how that particular state voted for Trump.

The high third party prevalence made it tricky, so I provided three options to split third-party (3P) data. I don't recommend mixing crosstabs too much - the poll data wasn't super granular in the first place, so errors will accumulate the more you mix crosstabs.

Default values based on 2016 turnout. Select a crosstab to adjust values.
Note: Only states with exit poll data will be updated.

Electoral College: R: D:

Republicans: Adjust turnout vs. 2016
Republicans: Adjust Trump percent vs. 2016
Republicans: Adjust Clinton percent vs. 2016

Democrats: Adjust turnout vs. 2016
Democrats: Adjust Trump percent vs. 2016
Democrats: Adjust Clinton percent vs. 2016

Independents: Adjust turnout vs. 2016
Independents: Adjust Trump percent vs. 2016
Independents: Adjust Clinton percent vs. 2016